We are finally here! Super Bowl LVII!
It’s the best time of the year for all the traditional and creative prop bets associated with the big game. All this week, we will cover some of the hottest and valuable prop bets to keep your eye on. Let’s start with some player props. (All odds courtesy of Bovada).
Dallas Goedert Over 50.5 Receiving Yards -114
It’s only been two games this postseason, but Goedert leads all Eagles receivers in receptions with 10. He has been Hurts’ most consistent target and should the Chiefs look to put the pressure on Hurts quickly, then expect Goedert to be heavily involved in the passing game. Hurts’ lack of deep throws this postseason also leave many to question whether he still harbors any pain from his shoulder injury. In that case, Goedert should see plenty of short passes with room to run after catch.
Miles Sanders Under 63.5 Rushing Yards -108
This one may be risky, especially with the Chiefs’ run defense being their Achilles’ Heel. However, with the postseason emergence of Kenneth Gainwell, I expect the Eagles to split their carries down the middle. In both playoff wins, Gainwell has outperformed Sanders, accumulating more rushing yards in both contests. I see no reason why this game won’t have more or less of the same. Going with the Under.
Jalen Hurts Under 21.5 Pass Completions -134
Even though Jalen Hurts will most likely be the runner-up in the MVP race to Patrick Mahomes, many forget that Hurts is more dangerous with his legs than his arm. In fact, Hurts did not make the Top 10 in completion percentage this season, finishing behind the likes of Andy Dalton and Matt Ryan. Against a KC defense that is weak against the run, expect the Eagles to rely more upon their rushing attack to generate yards and move the chains. Also, there is reason to believe Hurts’ shoulder still isn’t 100 percent. In that case, I’m leaning under on the pass completions.
Pat Mahomes Over 2.5 Passing TDs +140
The last time Pat Mahomes threw 3 TDs in a game was on New Year’s Day against the Denver Broncos – arguably a top-5 defense in the league. While the Eagles also sport an elite defense in the NFL, don’t let that deter you from backing the best QB in the game. Mahomes will have two additional weeks to heal from a high ankle sprain and while his mobility may be in question, his arm will not. I trust Mahomes to exploit the Eagles’ secondary more so than Jerrick McKinnon and Isiah Pacheco to break through Philly’s front seven. In 8 of his 17 regular season games, Mahomes was able to find the endzone 3 or more times with his arm. After throwing two apiece in his two playoff appearances this January, he’s past due.
Sky Moore Anytime TD Scorer +900
The rookie from Western Michigan had a relatively quiet season for the Chiefs (and fantasy owners like me who thought he was a potential breakout candidate). However, with injuries to JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kadarius Toney, Moore has the opportunity to be the No. 2 wideout behind Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Predictably, the Eagles’ defense will do everything in their power to double-cover TE Travis Kelce, leaving plenty of opportunities for Moore to emerge in this contest. Patrick Mahomes has targeted Toney for a TD in just about every game he has played in. What better way for Moore to score his first career NFL TD than in the Super Bowl?