For the past few weeks, we have dissected each division in the AFC and gave our over/under picks for every team’s win total. Now, let’s look at who we like to win the conference and advance to the Super Bowl.

Here are the odds (via Action Network) for who will win the AFC and our best bets and sleeper picks below.

• Bills +350
• Chiefs +550
• Chargers +750
• Broncos +900
• Ravens +900
• Bengals +1100
• Colts +1200
• Titans +2000
• Patriots +2000
• Raiders +2000
• Dolphins +2000
• Browns +2050
• Steelers +4000
• Jaguars +6000
• Jets +7000
• Texans +12500

Best Bets

Bills

The Bills were one win away from advancing to their second consecutive AFC Championship game last season. After a ridiculous, high-scoring, free-for-all Divisional game against the Chiefs, the Bills fell short as Kansas City won in OT while the Bills’ offense watched helplessly from the sideline. The Bills might have won the contest if the overtime rules had been different. Now, Buffalo enters the season as the favorite to win the AFC and the Super Bowl. And with good reason. 

Josh Allen returns to command this explosive offense with WRs Stefan Diggs, Gabriel Davis, and new addition Jamison Crowder. The offense also increased their RB depth by drafting rookie James Cook out of Georgia. On the defensive end, the Bills furthered themselves by signing longtime Broncos LB and Super Bowl Champion Von Miller in the offseason and will get CB Tre’Davious White back from injury.

It may scare some bettors to back the favorite, but there’s no question the Bills enter the season as the best team in the AFC on paper. Don’t be surprised to see Allen take another step in the MVP direction and lead this team to the Super Bowl.

Broncos

John Elway and the Broncos front office were finally fed up with inadequate QB play. The team made one of the biggest splashes of the offseason by trading for the Seahawks signal caller and Super Bowl Champion Russell Wilson. Similar to when Denver acquired Peyton Manning from the Colts, the Broncos are all-in this season. After all, this team manufactured a 7-10 record last season with a QB combination of Teddy Bridgewater and Drew Lock. With Wilson anchoring the squad, the Broncos will be legitimate contenders to make a deep playoff run. 

If there is one major obstacle, however, Denver plays in the AFC West, which is the toughest division in the NFL. Still, Wilson has played his entire career in Seattle in perhaps the most competitive division in the NFC the past few seasons. One thing is for sure, Wilson can elevate the play of WRs Jerry Jeudy and Cortland Sutton, along with second-year RB Javonte Williams. The Broncos already possess a shutdown defense; now, they have the offensive weapons to complete them. 

Bengals

Despite reaching the Super Bowl and coming within one quarter of holding the Lombardi trophy, this Bengals team still falls short of receiving the respect it deserves. One of the biggest weaknesses of this team last season happened to be the offensive line, as Joe Burrow was sacked more than any other QB in the league. In response, the Bengals signed G Alex Cappa, OT La’el Collins, and C Ted Karras in the offseason, which should immensely bolster the line. 

There’s no reason this offense should slow down, either. Burrow enters his third season in the league after leading his team to the Super Bowl in February. His receiver corps is still intact, with Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd returning along with Joe Mixon at RB.

There is a chance the Bengals will experience a bit of a Super Bowl hangover following their loss to the Rams, but Burrow plays with ice in his veins and will be undeterred by the defeat. In fact, it may be extra motivation for the team since they had the Lombardi trophy within their reach just a few months earlier. Don’t sleep on this team. 

Sleepers

Colts

By all accounts, the Colts should have been in the playoffs last season. Indy needed only one win in their final two games to clinch a playoff berth but fell short thanks to poor play by Carson Wentz. In response, the Colts decided to part ways with the beleaguered QB in the offseason and acquired former MVP Matt Ryan, from the Falcons.

On paper, Ryan could be the missing piece the Colts need to win their division and potentially the AFC. The Colts now have a QB with Super Bowl experience to anchor the squad, led by arguably the best RB in the league in Jonathan Taylor. Indy has the talent with young WRs Michael Pittman and Parris Campbell along with underrated TE Mo Alie-Cox. The Colts also own a solid defense and play in the weakest division in the AFC. If Ryan can find the same rejuvenation as Matt Stafford did when he left Detroit for LA, this team will be AFC Championship bound. 

Raiders

If the Raiders played in any other division in the AFC, they would receive far more recognition as a playoff contender. However, with the Chiefs, Chargers, and newly revamped Broncos occupying the West, the Raiders find themselves as the odd team out. That’s not to say this team should be overlooked. After all, the Raiders clinched a Wild Card berth last season and are vastly better on offense now with the addition of WR Davante Adams in the offseason. 

There’s no reason this team shouldn’t be able to put up points. Derek Carr has the potential to lead the league in passing yards with Adams, Hunter Renfrow, and Darren Waller in his arsenal. And with new HC Josh McDaniels at the helm, the Raiders will have plenty of new schemes to work with on offense. It will be a long shot, but Las Vegas has enough talent on its roster to get them there. 

Browns

It’s been quite the tumultuous offseason for the Browns. After acquiring embattled QB Deshaun Watson from the Texans, Cleveland unloaded disgruntled QB Baker Mayfield. Not too long after, the much-anticipated suspension was handed to Watson, who will miss the first 11 games of the season after violating the league’s disciplinary policy. Still, if the Browns can tread water until Watson returns, there is a chance this team could clinch a Wild Card spot. If so, the Browns will be a dangerous playoff team with Watson at the helm. It’s far-fetched, but with the value offered, it may not be a bad bet.